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26. Relative humidity in “cloud resolving” models
Time and spatially averaged relative humidity profiles from radiative-convective equilibrium simulations with cloud-resolving models. The figure on the left is from Held et al, 1993...
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27. Estimating TCR from recent warming
GISTEMP annual mean surface temperatures (degrees C) for the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Here’s an argument that suggests to me that the transient climate response (TCR) is unlikely to be larger...
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28. The “fruit fly” of climate models
Animations of the near surface temperature (top) and upper tropospheric zonal winds (bottom) in an idealized dry atmospheric model. The first 500 days of spinup from a state of rest are shown at one...
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29. Eddy resolving ocean models
Animation of the sea surface temperature in a coupled climate model under development at GFDL, the ocean component having an average resolution of roughly 0.1 degree latitude and longitude. Click HERE...
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30. Extremes
Percentage change in the precipitation falling on days within which the daily precipitation is above the pth percentile (p is horizontal axis) as a function of latitude and averaged over longtitude,...
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31. Relative humidity in GCMs
Relative humidity evolution over one year in a 50km resolution atmospheric model in the upper (250hPa) and lower (850hPa) troposphere. In their 1-D radiative-convective paper of 1967, Manabe and...
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32. Modeling land warming given oceanic warming
Anomalies in annual mean near surface air temperature over land (1979-2008), averaged over the Northern Hemisphere, from CRUTEM4 (green) and as simulated by an ensemble of atmosphere/land models in...
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33. Can we trust simulations of TC statistics in global models?
Globally integrated, annual mean tropical cyclone (TC) and hurricane frequency simulated in the global model described in Post #2, as a function of a parameter in the model’s sub-grid moist convection...
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34. Summer temperature trends over Asia
Anomalies in near surface air temperature over land (1979-2008) averaged over Asia and the months of June-July-August from CRUTEM4 (green) — and as simulated by atmosphere/land models in which oceanic...
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35. Atlantic multi-decadal variability and aerosols
(Left) Sea surface temperature averaged over the North Atlantic (75-7.5W, 0-60N), in the HADGEM2-ES model (ensemble mean red; standard deviation yellow) compared with observations (black), as...
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36. A diffusive model of atmospheric heat transport
Lower panel: the observed (irrotational) component of the horizontal eddy sensible heat flux at 850mb in Northern Hemisphere in January along with the mean temperature field at this level. Middle...
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37. Tropical rainfall and inter-hemispheric energy transport
Schematic of the response of tropical rainfall to high latitude warming in one hemisphere and cooling in the other or, equivalently, to a cross-equatorial heat flux in the ocean. From Kang et al...
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38. NH-SH differential warming and TCR
Rough estimates of the WMGG (well-mixed greenhouse gas — red) and non-WMGG (blue) components of the global mean temperature time series obtained from observed (HADCRUT4) Northern and Southern...
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39. FAT
The response of a 1km non-rotating doubly periodic model of radiative-convective equilibrium to an increase in surface temperature, in increments of 2K. Left: temperature, showing a moist-adiabatic...
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40. Playing with a diffusive energy balance model
Latitude of ice margin as a function of a non-dimensional total solar irradiance in the diffusive energy balance climate model described by North 1975, for different values of the non-dimensional...
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41. The hiatus and drought in the U.S.
Correlation between seasonal mean precipitation (Dec-Jan-Feb) and sea surface temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific (Niño 3.4: 120W-170W and 5S-5N) in observations (GPCP) and in a...
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42: Aqua-planet hurricanes and the ITCZ
Zonal (east-west) wind in the lower troposphere (850mb) in two simulations with a 50km resolution atmospheric model with zonally symmetric boundary conditions. Only of longitude within the tropics...
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43. Rotating radiative-convective equilibrium
Animation of near-surface wind speeds in rotating radiative-convection equilibrium, following Zhou et al, 2014. I have discussed models of non-rotating radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE) in...
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44. Heat uptake and internal variability — part II
I’m returning to an argument discussed in post #16 regarding the decomposition of the global mean warming into a part that is forced and a part that is due to internal variability. I am not looking...
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45. Dynamic retardation of tropical warming
Observed (HADCRUT4) surface temperature trends from 1980-2010, compared to the estimate of the forced response over this time frame obtained from the multi-model mean of the CMIP5 models. From Knutson...
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